Located on two branches of the New Silk Road (Belt and Road or B&R), Central Asia is both a trading partner and gateway for China and Europe; Russia’s long-standing influence in the region through expatriate transfers, its military bases, and culture is also of note. For the moment, China and Russia find reasons for rapprochement in their opposition to Western ideas and their fight against the spread of radical Islam. However, the balance of power could soon change as China is the largest provider of funding for corridor development in the region.
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When Narendra Modi ran for Prime Minister in 2014, he pledged to boost the competitiveness of India’s industrial sector to promote growth. Modi will be running for president again in India’s general elections between 11 April and 19 May. The economy is in a better position than it was in 2014, but many of the structural fragilities that Modi inherited continue to afflict India today and a mixed track record in terms of economic reforms has dampened enthusiasm for Modi.
2019 will be marked by high volatility in the global oil market - Brent crude oil price to average USD 65 in 2019, according to Coface estimates - In Mexico, the financial stress already faced by Pemex might not be contained - Brazil oil policy is expected to have positive knock-on effect in the medium term
2018 proved to be a relatively challenging year for China. Growth slowed to 6.6% and is expected to decline further in 2019 (6.2%, according to Coface forecasts). As a result, 59% of the 1500 Chinese companies that participated in Coface’s survey believe the economy will not improve in 2019, the worst since 2003 (...)Read More
● Stagflation becoming a reality, exports are a key-source of revenues for economy, especially in the automotive sector
● Exporters are flexible; government support is vital for exporters to gain new market shares
Our good 2018 results show the relevance of our Fit to Win strategic plan in a now more volatile economic environment. Our net income of €122 million is up 47% and corresponds to a return on equity close to our average through the cycle objective excluding further capital optimisation actionsRead More
Country and sector risks barometer - January 2019: Two pitfalls for businesses - The economic downturn and political risksRead More
Corporate insolvencies in France: The rebound that began in May 2018 is expected to continue in 2019Read More
French companies in 2019: Rise in insolvencies but higher margins will allow cushioning the impact of slowing global tradeRead More
Halfway through its trade diversification process, the United Arab Emirates is yet to be integrated into international value chainsRead More
Country and sector risks barometer worldwide - Oktober 2018: Some emerging economies become increasingly vulnerableRead More
Greece's exit from the international bailout programme: Greek companies are experiencing a revival – more competitive and less indebtedRead More
Global metals sector: prices to continue to rise in 2018, ahead of a possible slight decline in 2019
On the back of highly-synchronised economic growth, technological shifts boosting a surge in the use of metals and a shortfall in supply, metals have been benefitting from a bull market since mid-2016 (...)Read More