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Despite five years of Modinomics, India continues to be constrained by economic fragilities

When Narendra Modi ran for Prime Minister in 2014, he pledged to boost the competitiveness of India’s industrial sector to promote growth. Modi will be running for president again in India’s general elections between 11 April and 19 May. The economy is in a better position than it was in 2014, but many of the structural fragilities that Modi inherited continue to afflict India today and a mixed track record in terms of economic reforms has dampened enthusiasm for Modi.

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Mexico and Brazil taking opposite directions in terms of energy policies

2019 will be marked by high volatility in the global oil market - Brent crude oil price to average USD 65 in 2019, according to Coface estimates - In Mexico, the financial stress already faced by Pemex might not be contained - Brazil oil policy is expected to have positive knock-on effect in the medium term

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Coface launches credit-insurance offer in Greece

Local companies set to benefit from Coface’s expertise in risk prevention and payment protection.

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China Payment Survey 2019: Longer delays as growth falters

2018 proved to be a relatively challenging year for China. Growth slowed to 6.6% and is expected to decline further in 2019 (6.2%, according to Coface forecasts). As a result, 59% of the 1500 Chinese companies that participated in Coface’s survey believe the economy will not improve in 2019, the worst since 2003 (...)

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Turkish economy: domestic demand still waning but exports fuelled by the lira’s depreciation

● Stagflation becoming a reality, exports are a key-source of revenues for economy, especially in the automotive sector
● Exporters are flexible; government support is vital for exporters to gain new market shares

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FY-2018 results: net income up 47% at €122.3M and pay-out of 100% of net income

Our good 2018 results show the relevance of our Fit to Win strategic plan in a now more volatile economic environment. Our net income of €122 million is up 47% and corresponds to a return on equity close to our average through the cycle objective excluding further capital optimisation actions

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Country and sector risks barometer - January 2019: Two pitfalls for businesses - The economic downturn and political risks

Coface will be sharing its vision of the major trends in the world economy in 2019 with businesses at its annual conference on country and sectoral risks.

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Corporate insolvencies in France: The rebound that began in May 2018 is expected to continue in 2019

Since May 2018, the number of insolvencies in France has started to rise again. This trend is expected to continue in 2019 (forecast of 1%) (...)

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Coface strengthens the senior management team of its Western Europe region

The Western Europe region, which comprises six mature credit insurance markets, represented 21.6% of the Group’s total exposure and 20.7% of its total revenue in 2017.

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Tighter liquidity in Asia: not all gloom and doom in 2019

Asia has been under pressure following tighter global liquidity in 2018. Coface’s index for measuring relative vulnerability to outflows points to increasing divergence in Asia (...)

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French companies in 2019: Rise in insolvencies but higher margins will allow cushioning the impact of slowing global trade

In the third quarter of 2018, after two years of improvement, French companies experienced a reversal of the trend with the number of insolvencies increasing by +2.3% (...)

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SMEs in China: Monetary easing won’t be sufficient to reduce credit pressure

When considering risk in the Chinese economy, a lot of the discussion has focused on large State-Owned Enterprises (SOEs) or large private conglomerates ...

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Halfway through its trade diversification process, the United Arab Emirates is yet to be integrated into international value chains

In the last three decades, the UAE has developed into the second largest and most diversified economy in GCC area through the implementation of specific policy frameworks regarding regulations (...)

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Country and sector risks barometer worldwide - Oktober 2018: Some emerging economies become increasingly vulnerable

Higher oil prices and continued capital outflows from emerging markets mark the third quarter of 2018 (...)

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US protectionism: Significant knock-on effect on trade partners of targeted countries

Increased protectionism is affecting a large number of economies – both advanced and emerging (...)

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Greece's exit from the international bailout programme: Greek companies are experiencing a revival – more competitive and less indebted

Multiple signs of an economic recovery in Greece. Reforms have helped to clean up public accounts, restore Greece's credibility and strengthen confidence.

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Country and sector risks worldwide: Signals of risk on the increase in the 2nd quarter

Downgraded assessments in the majority this quarter

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France’s loss of market share in Africa benefits several European countries, China and India

While France’s trade balance has remained in surplus, its market share of exports to Africa halved from 11% in 2000, to 5.5% in 2017.

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Global metals sector: prices to continue to rise in 2018, ahead of a possible slight decline in 2019

On the back of highly-synchronised economic growth, technological shifts boosting a surge in the use of metals and a shortfall in supply, metals have been benefitting from a bull market since mid-2016 (...)

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GDPR Information (EU General Data Protection Regulation)

Answers to commonly asked questions, relevant documentation and contact details.

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