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    Political & Social Risk: what you need to watch out for in 2025

    In the wake of significant electoral activity and persistent geopolitical tensions impacting global commerce, businesses face a sustained era of intricate and concerning political risk. This reality demands strategic adaptation. The landscape is marked by political instability, social unrest, geopolitical rivalries, the rise of populism, armed conflicts, and coups d’état.

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    Apple and Nvidia's trillion-dollar commitment: more rhetoric than reshoring revolution

    Apple and Nvidia, two of the world’s most valuable companies, have announced plans to invest over USD 1 trillion in the U.S. electronics supply chain. While these commitments are framed as a push for industrial sovereignty and reshoring, a closer examination reveals that these moves are more symbolic than transformative, carrying hidden economic and geopolitical risks.

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    From prosperity to decline: U.S. soybeans and the fallout of the Sino-American trade war

    As US-China trade tensions escalate, American soybeans find themselves once again at the forefront. China, which absorbs 75% of global soybean imports, imposed retaliatory tariffs in March 2025 targeting US exports, threatening an industry already weakened by falling prices. Simon Lacoume, sector analyst at Coface, analyzes the implications of this tariff war for Midwestern farmers, traditional supporters of Donald Trump.

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    Electric vehicles: Competition between China and Europe in an age of mobility transition

    China is swiftly expanding its influence in the European electric vehicle market, benefiting from a perfectly integrated production chain and substantial governmental backing. As Europe strives to achieve its goal of eliminating combustion engines by 2035, will its automotive industry be able to keep pace, or will Chinese manufacturers definitively take the lead?

  • Risk Dashboard

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    Germany may face reform backlog until Summer

    Political stability returns, but reforms stall. Following Germany’s general election, major reforms are expected to be delayed due to coalition negotiations and constitutional constraints.

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    2025: a new leap into the unknown

    The year 2025 begins under the banner of uncertainty. With political upheavals, geopolitical tensions, and persistent economic challenges, businesses must navigate an increasingly unpredictable environment. Xavier Durand, CEO of Coface, provides a clear-eyed assessment of the situation and analyzes the key trends that will shape the year ahead.

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  • Risk Dashboard

    Better assess your risks with Coface's global risk assessments for 160 countries and 13 sectors. 

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