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Economic publications

  • #Economic publications

    Risk Review 2026: slower growth but Switzerland remains highly resilient

    The global economic outlook for 2026 points to slightly slower growth, according to our latest Risk Review. Global growth is expected to slow to 2.6 per cent in 2026, compared with 2.8 per cent in 2025, although Europe remains stable. Switzerland has retained its top rating and could benefit from strong global trade partners.

  • #Economic publications

    Uncertainty rises following US tariffs ruling

    The Supreme Court ruling on US tariff policy brings little relief: tariffs remain high, asymmetric effects are growing. Additional uncertainty stems from the question of whether agreements such as the one with Switzerland have now definitively been deprived of their legal basis.

  • #Economic publications

    Business insolvencies are expected to increase by 2.8% worldwide in 2026

    In 2026, business insolvencies are expected to rise slightly again, against a backdrop of gradually easing financing costs. Behind this apparent stabilisation lies a still high level of fragility, particularly in the construction, chemical and textile industries. A rise of just 25 basis points in interest rates on business loans would be enough to upset an easing trend. For Swiss companies, this global evolution is particularly relevant. Switzerland’s economy remains highly dependent on exports and cross-border trade, meaning that the financial health of foreign clients and partners directly affects domestic businesses.

    • #Economic publications
    • #Expert advice

    Doing business with India: a practical export guide for Swiss SMEs

    On October 1, 2025, the TEPA free trade agreement between Switzerland and India officially came into force. For Swiss SMEs, this represents a major opportunity to tap into one of the world’s fastest-growing markets, with a consumer base of over 1.4 billion people. However, entering the Indian market remains complex. This guide highlights the key considerations for Swiss companies looking to export to India.

  • Risk Dashboard

    Better assess your risks with Coface's global risk assessments for 160 countries and 13 sectors. 

  • #Economic publications

    Data Center Mega-Boom: unprecedented opportunities and risks for global economy and financial markets

    The rapid advancement of artificial intelligence is driving spectacular growth in data centers, fueled by record investments and strong concentration in the United States. Coface's analysis reveals, however, that this expansion has not yet led to sustainable economic transformation but currently generates exceptional risks such as overheating and imbalances with global repercussions.

  • #Economic publications

    US–Swiss trade agreement: what the 15% tariff means for Swiss exporters

    The memorandum of understanding signed between Switzerland and the United States in mid-November marks a significant de-escalation in the bilateral tariff dispute. The arrangement reduces additional US import tariffs on Swiss goods from 39% to 15%, easing immediate pressure on exporters. However, from a trade risk perspective, the agreement stabilizes conditions only partially, while uncertainty remains structurally high.

  • #Economic publications

    US–China trade deal: why the new agreement remains fragile

    The latest trade agreement between the US and China gives both sides time to breathe, but the analysis shows it offers no guarantees. At the same time, it illustrates how consistently the United States is pursuing its bilateral strategy. Most recently, this approach led to an understanding with Switzerland.

  • #Economic publications

    Global economy defies pressure

    The global economy is proving resilient despite new tariffs and political tensions – in part thanks to strong US consumption, stabilization across Europe, and solid growth in Asia. These are the findings of our latest global Risk Review. Nevertheless, political risks have reached record levels worldwide

  • Risk Dashboard

    Better assess your risks with Coface's global risk assessments for 160 countries and 13 sectors. 

  • Coface Podcast

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