News

Iran: Sharp turn ahead, drive carefully

03/17/2016

After five years of sanctions, Iran is finally to rejoin the global community. The
return of Iran should have an effect on international growth via the oil channel but, above all, will bring huge changes to Iran itself. The lifting of sanctions, following the P5+1 agreement, will have a significant effect on raising Iran’s output. This will revive the Iranian economy, particularly through the recovery of foreign trade and investments.

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Coface 2015 results: net income €126M and proposed dividend stable at €0.48 per share (5)

02/09/2016

At the end of 2015, a year marked by a deterioration in the global economic environment, Coface recorded a slight increase in net income (group share), at €126M (€125M in 2014). Turnover for the year grew by 3.4% (+1.2% at constant scope and exchange rate), supported by emerging markets. The Group’s loss ratio net of reinsurance has stabilized over the last six months, at 52.5%. Coface is prepared for Solvency II, which came into force on 1 January 2016. The ratio of capital required to cover subscribed risks stands at 147%7, a level in line with Coface’s risk appetite and dividend pay-out policy of 60% of net income.

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Country risks again under tension in 2016

01/28/2016

To be monitored: cheap oil, financial market volatility and the Chinese slowdown in advanced countries and growing debt of companies in emerging countries

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Is a Chinese shadow cast over Asia?

09/29/2015

China is trying to find a way to achieve healthier, more sustainable growth, but this is not completely painless for its economy – or for those of its neighbours. According to Coface estimates, growth is unlikely to exceed 6.7% in 2015 and 6.2% in 2016, compared with 13.4% over the period 2006-2007. This is mainly a result of the technological and capital catch-up process running out of steam: several industries are suffering from overcapacity and corporate indebtedness is high, thus impacting investment. We are witnessing a shift in the Chinese economic model. Which Asian countries will be the first victims if there is a hard landing? And which will enjoy the greatest immunity?

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Country risk assessment map - 3rd quarter 2015

09/29/2015

Although worldwide growth continues to recover,its rate will not exceed 3% for the fourth year in a row. The advanced economies are doing much better: Activity in the USA rose significantly in the 2nd quarter (2.5% forecast for 2015), thanks to both consumer spending and investment, and in the Eurozone (1.5%) the gradual upturn in activity continues

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Map country risk assessment - 3rd quarter 2015

09/29/2015

160 COUNTRIES UNDER THE MAGNIFYING GLASS

- Macroeconomic expertise in assessing country risk
- Comprehension of the Business environment
- Microeconomic data collected over 70 years of payment experience.

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