Beyond the repercussions of the war in Ukraine, the global monetary tightening and the multiple constraints on Chinese growth paint a gloomy outlook. In the short term, the economy seems to be settling into a regime of "stagflation", where almost no growth and rapidly rising prices coexist. The possibility of a global recession, meanwhile, is becoming clearer.
In this context, Coface is making general downward revisions to its GDP growth forecasts and its country and sectoral assessments. Check them out!
In the short-term, the economy seems to be settling into a regime of “stagflation”, where almost no growth and rapidly rising prices coexist. The possibility of a global recession, meanwhile, is becoming clearer.
Our economic research team gives some more perspective in our latest barometer.
Coface's assessments of 13 major global sectors from 6 geographical sectors. These assessments are based on 75 years of Coface expertise and payment experience data, external financial data forecasts, and multifactorial key items (commodities price forecasts, structural changes, Coface country risk assessment).
The impact on corporate payments in 2022 appears to be moderate and comparatively lower than the shock on the economy. However, companies are vigilant in the short-term and very pessimistic about the future.
Christiane von Berg, our economist for the Northern Europe region, details the payment terms and expectations of companies in Germany.